If Iraq did take the same steps, or they would not have been effective, then the comparison between Ukraine and Iraq is a good one: if America beat Iraq it could probably have beaten Ukraine as well.īut if Iraq did not take those steps, and they would have been effective, then American success in Iraq may not tell us much about how America would have fared against Ukraine.Ī RAND post-mortem on the Iraq War is most helpful in this regard. To see whether such a conclusion is sound, it is useful to consider whether the Iraqis took the same steps as the Ukrainians to defend their country-and if they did not, whether those steps would have been effective in Iraq. Many have drawn the conclusion from Russia’s failures in Ukraine that the United States would have been more successful-because the United States were more successful in their own most recent military adventure against a functioning state: the invasion of Iraq.
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